TRET the Podcast: Market Report 1/29/25

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TRET Market Report 1/29/25

Should Fannie and Freddie Leave Conservatorship?

Recently much has been written about the fate of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) and its role as conservator over Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Since 2009 the FHFA has been both Fannie and Freddie’s regulator and has overseen the direction of both organizations. During that time, the FHFA has ensured that the primary function of both Fannie and Freddie is not profit maximation, but instead facilitation of the secondary mortgage market. The FHFA has set portfolio retention limits, set volume caps for lenders and determined guarantee fees, among other things. Under the oversight of the FHFA, both government-sponsored entities (GSE’s) repaid their debts and once again became profitable. Additionally, both organizations have lowered their respective risk portfolios. In light of a 2021 Supreme Court decision in Collins v. Yellen and the advent of a second Trump presidency, there is some renewed rhetoric around the two GSE’s leaving conservatorship and the oversight of the FHFA.

Onto 2025, What Have We Learned?

2025 is in full swing and despite a busy holiday season and our chief editor undergoing a very bad case of the flu, The Real Estate Think Tank continues in full swing as it embraces the beginning of the New Year. With all that said, 2024 has been another year of improvement and growth here at TRET and this time of the year causes us to reflect on some of its highlights.

Hotel Valuation, A Quick and Dirty Guide

We are in the midst of the 30 days of content from TRET and on the heels of our post about the W Hotel, here is a quick guide on how to price hotels. The Arrowfish Consulting blog has a great article on hotel valuation. This article is a great reference for anyone looking to get a basic understanding of how to value hotel properties. This article highlights the following methods:

How Much Knowledge and Skills Do You Need to Prosper In Real Estate

Real Estate is often maligned for having a high barrier to entry. This complaint typically refers to the relatively larger amount of capital that it takes to traditionally purchase a property when compared to other types of investments. It is undeniable that a fifteen to twenty-five percent downpayment can be a substantial amount of money. Especially when the median house price in the United State of America is $386,000, according to Redfin.com. Even considering the 3.5% downpayment requirement of an FHA mortgage, which cannot be used to purchase investment property, it is clearly much more costly to purchase a residential property than it is to purchase stock, bonds, or some other form of investment. The numbers are even greater for commercial property.

Real Estate Blogs: The Lay of the Land

Normally we at TRET are content to remain in our corner of the real estate blogosphere, offering insightful content on all things real estate. The state of real estate blogging, however, has changed in the 13 years since this blog has begun and it is necessary to take a look at the types of real estate blogs that populate the Internet in 2024. There are a multitude of topics on which real estate blogs can focus, from commercial real estate, to real estate investment to lending and mortgage markets. There is also no shortage of target audiences for a real estate blogger, including real estate brokers, first time homebuyers, real estate technology users and even bankers. The variety of options available has made this subset of blogs significantly larger than when TRET first began.  For reasons of formatting and redundancy, this article will not merely be a list of reviews of other real estate blogs. There are a number of websites that already successfully provide extensive reviews of the real estate blogosphere like: The Close or Feed Spot, among others. Instead, the purpose of this article is to organize, categorize and put a face on the large and growing ecosystem of real estate blogs, in order to make this corner of the Internet a little less daunting.

Why Can't Anyone Afford A House?

Another Summer has given way to the crisp winds of Autumn. As the cooler temperatures and falling leaves begin to turn ones mind toward the importance of having a warm place to stay in the upcoming months, it would be prudent to look at how housing affordability has become a true concern for most people in the United States. In a very informative, yet eye-opening article, EconoFact discusses how the vast majority of household are spending well over 30% of the their income on housing. This figure includes both homeowners and renters.

The recently decline in housing unaffordability is concerning for a number of reasons. One of the primary concerns around this current economic trend is the financial stress that higher housing costs place on households. Considering further the inflationary pressures of the past five years and it appears that most American households may be squeezed into an impossible position.

Seasoning Update 2024

It’s been a while since we have discussed seasoning on this blog and it’s about time to talk about the changes that have taken place in the past few years and discuss further the different meanings of seasoning that exist for a mortgage.

What Will Each of the Candidates Do For the Real Estate Market If They Are Elected President?

The 2024 presidential election is coming up in four months and on July 21, 2024, President Joe Biden formally announced that he was withdrawing from the presidential race. This left the Democratic party with a decision which was ultimately made July 30^th, when they name Vice President Kamala Harris as their endorsed candidate for president. With both candidates for president unequivocally named, let’s look at what both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris might do to or for the real estate market if elected as president.

Digitization and the Real Estate Professional

There is no denying that the role and purpose of a real estate professional has changed over the past five years. From advances in artificial intelligence, to the popularity of digital real estate, to the presence of large full service real estate companies in the market, like Zillow 2024, this market is very different from that of 2019. Add to this mix the weakening of real estate professional organizations, like the National Association of Realtors via the NAR settlement and it becomes even more apparent that the real estate service market is in a state of change. Given the current state of flux in the market, some have begun to question the role of a real estate professional. It has therefore become imperative that real estate professionals recognize their current competitive advantages in order to thrive.

The Origin of the 6% Commission Standard

The recent National Association of Realtors (NAR) Settlement is in the process of changing how many real estate brokers and salespeople conduct business. The terms of the settlement all but abolish cooperative compensation amongst brokers. Although this may not be a substantial change for markets in which every buyer offers through a Buyer's Broker and every seller is automatically represented by a Seller’s Broker, the effects will be greatly felt in other markets. Some of the larger real estate markets have developed complex systems of agency that will now be simplified by one premise--in a residential real estate transaction, a buyer will now have to pay a Buyer’s Broker and seller will have to pay a Seller’s Broker.

Shrinkflation In the Real Estate Market

Inflation has been a reality for the past couple of years. As a result, many companies have decided to respond to the rise in prices and the weakening of the dollar by shrinking the size of their products without reducing their price. This practice has been given the name “Shrinkflation,” which is  defined as “the practice of reducing a product's amount or volume per unit while continuing to offer it at the same price.” Shrinkflation started to become apparent during the pandemic, but was so craftily employed that many doubted that it was even happening. Now, however, it is well acknowledged that just about everything is smaller, but more expensive. Shrinkflation has so integrated itself in today's reality that it has made its way into the real estate market.

The Mortgage Solution and the Refinance Trap: Why the Lender Always Wins with a Mortgage

Mortgage rates have been news for some time now. Coverage about mortgages has recently turned toward news of a potential rate decrease. This potential drop is such a relief to everyone in the real estate market that even President Joe Biden mentioned it in his most recent State of the Union address. Although the reference was a political move and this blog is not political, the President's attempts to use the activity in the real estate market to further his agenda is yet another reminder of the influence that mortgage rates hold on this country.

Blockchain Real Estate: Some Things to Consider

There has been a recent movement toward marrying blockchain technology with real estate transactions. As a result, tokenization has been offered as the solution for everything real estate from investment to document execution. Companies like RealT, ManageGo, Republic, Blocksquare and others now offer a variety of different real estate services based on blockchain technology. Although this wave of innovation is seemingly ubiquitous in today’s real estate market, there are still a number of legal and logistical issues that must be considered before fully integrating blockchain technology into your real estate endeavors.

Flourish in New Beginnings: Navigating Life in a Different City

By Sharon Wagner

Moving to a new city brings a mix of excitement and nerves, especially after overcoming personal challenges. Courtesy of The Real Estate Think Tank, this guide is crafted to assist you in thriving in your new environment. It provides you with strategies to create a strong support system. Learn how to maintain focus amidst the changes. It also teaches you to cultivate a positive attitude during this transition.

2023 Recap (No Clever Title This Time)

Yet another year has come and gone for TRET and it’s time for our annual wrap up. Let’s start with this blog. This year started for us with a focus on individual wealth generation through real estate. This noble goal dominated the blog for the first couple of months of the year and was continued in an expert fashion by this year’s guest writer—Sharon Wagner. All of our residential real estate articles have had a wealth generation theme and we will continue to honor this commitment to wealth generation going forward.

Strategic House Flipping as a Gateway to Adult Education Funding

By Sharon Wagner

Embarking on the path of higher education as an adult can be a financially daunting endeavor. In the quest to secure funding for this journey, the realm of house flipping presents an innovative and viable solution. This guide is designed to arm adult learners with strategic insights, seamlessly interweaving the art of real estate investment with the pursuit of academic goals, thereby transforming financial barriers into opportunities for growth and success.

There’s No Place Like Home For the Holidays: A Look At The Multifamily Market

Thanksgiving has passed and the holiday season has officially begun, so it is only natural that TRET finishes its real estate asset class series with a look at home—multifamily properties. Also, for those who consider the holidays a time to get away, we’ll also take a look at the state of hospitality properties, as well.

Ready, Set, Invest! Your Guide to Buying Your First Investment Property

By Sharon Wagner

Investing in real estate is undoubtedly one of the smartest ways to boost your earnings and create wealth. With the potential for significant returns on investment, whether you're looking for an extra source of income or a path to becoming a full-time investor, purchasing your first investment property is a major undertaking. To help you make the most out of your investment, The Real Estate Think Tank has compiled some essential steps to follow when purchasing and managing your first investment property. 

Industrial Real Estate: A Normal Market for a Somewhat Normal Time

Recently coming off the effects of nearly two years of rising interest rates by the Federal Reserve, the real estate market has been in a state of constant change for the past 18 months. As this blog has extensively discussed, real estate is very dependent on interest rates, as they influence property loans, cap rates and ultimately, property prices. Despite the recent period of adjustment, the economy seem to show signs of normalization, with mortgage rates, consumer loan rates and even treasury rates settling at levels much higher than those of the previous two years. By all indicators, it seems like our economy and we seem headed for a soft landing. No market has internalized the current state of the economy more than the Industrial Real Estate market.